Week 8 preview · October 27, 2026

This Week

Week 8 puts the team in first against the team the numbers say is better, the luckiest roster in the league against the one that has faced the most points, and two teams averaging 0.13 apart.

Picks this season: 13-11Last week: 3-3

🔥 Game of the week

Sam B

Hugh Jass Construction, LLC.

#8 · 3-4

vs
Chris

Maye I touch Ur Little Flower?

#1 · 6-1

Sam B vs Chris

3-4
Record
6-1
121.40
Avg score
117.35
47-30
All-play
45-32
-1.27
Luck
+1.91
91.7%
Lineup eff.
87.0%
W 122.00
Last week
W 118.24
W1
Streak
W4

Chris is 6-1, alone in first, with the sixth-most points in the league and a +1.91 luck rating, second-highest. Sam B is 3-4 with the fourth-most points and a -1.27 luck rating, 11th. Their all-play records are 47-30 for Sam B and 45-32 for Chris, so over a full season against everybody, Sam B has been the better team, and he averages 4.05 more a week. Sam B sets his lineup at 91.7 percent, second in the league, to Chris's 87.0, and just won by 19.68 with Bo Nix scoring 26.18 on his bench. Chris has Drake Maye, 138.46 in seven starts, and four straight wins. Sam B, because the all-play record has been the best predictor in this league all season and it has been saying this for weeks.

The pick

Sam B

Sam B has the better all-play record, 47-30 to 45-32, averages 4.05 more, and sets lineups at 91.7 percent to Chris's 87.0. Chris is 6-1 on a +1.91 luck rating.

Mike

Mrs Minnesota

#7 · 4-3

vs
Sam O

Mr. Minnesota

#11 · 2-5

Mike vs Sam O

4-3
Record
2-5
104.47
Avg score
115.77
21-56
All-play
35-42
+2.09
Luck
-1.18
87.6%
Lineup eff.
90.2%
W 107.88
Last week
L 102.32
W1
Streak
L2

Mike is 4-3 with the 11th-most points, a 21-56 all-play record, and a +2.09 luck rating, the highest in the league by a margin. His four wins have come by 25.98 combined, and the last one was over the top-scoring team with a 0.0 at FLEX. Sam O is 2-5 with the seventh-most points, a 35-42 all-play record, and 903.88 points faced, the most in the league. He averages 11.30 more than Mike. Mike's average is the lowest of any opponent Sam O has faced this season. Sam O, and if he loses this one the schedule was never the problem.

The pick

Sam O

Sam O averages 11.30 more and has a 35-42 all-play record to Mike's 21-56. Mike's luck rating is +2.09, the highest in the league, and it has to run out somewhere.

Patrick

Caleb Nation

#2 · 5-2

vs
Drew

Drewa Lipa

#5 · 4-3

Patrick vs Drew

5-2
Record
4-3
127.71
Avg score
114.05
54-23
All-play
33-44
+0.09
Luck
+1.00
84.8%
Lineup eff.
79.4%
L 112.02
Last week
W 100.58
L1
Streak
W1

Patrick is 5-2 with the second-most points, a 54-23 all-play record, and the first should-have-won loss of his season after starting the wrong quarterback and the wrong defense against Chris. Drew is 4-3, fresh off a 2.46-point win with eight starters, and sets his lineup at 79.4 percent, last in the league, with 207.60 on the bench. Patrick averages 13.66 more and has outscored Drew by 95.60 this season. Josh Allen is back for Drew. Patrick's bench quarterbacks have 202.22 between them. Patrick, as long as one of the three starts.

The pick

Patrick

Patrick averages 13.66 more, has a 54-23 all-play record to Drew's 33-44, and has outscored him by 95.60 this season. Drew sets his lineup at 79.4 percent, last in the league.

Lauren

Mrs. Wisconsin

#4 · 4-3

vs
Val

Tuten and Bo-otin

#12 · 1-6

Lauren vs Val

4-3
Record
1-6
123.44
Avg score
94.45
44-33
All-play
16-61
+0.00
Luck
-0.45
85.7%
Lineup eff.
85.8%
W 137.66
Last week
L 103.38
W3
Streak
L3

The biggest gap on the board: Lauren averages 123.44, Val 94.45, 28.99 apart. Lauren has won three straight with the top score of the week, Jaxon Smith-Njigba has 196.16, the most by any player in the league, and she has the third-most points. Val has the fewest points, a 16-61 all-play record, and three should-have-won losses, the latest with Tony Pollard scoring 36.5 in a 6.54-point loss. Lauren.

The pick

Lauren

Lauren averages 28.99 more, the biggest gap on the board, and has won three straight. Val's all-play record is 16-61.

Chandler

Watch out, Ladies

#3 · 4-3

vs
Kyle

Milk Destroyer

#10 · 2-5

Chandler vs Kyle

4-3
Record
2-5
131.20
Avg score
118.31
54-23
All-play
41-36
-0.91
Luck
-1.73
94.9%
Lineup eff.
85.1%
L 97.72
Last week
L 133.72
L1
Streak
L2

Chandler just scored 97.72, the low score of the week, with Cook and Daniels on bye, and is 4-3 with the most points in the league and a 54-23 all-play record. Kyle just scored 133.72, the second-highest score of the week, and lost, because Isaiah Likely scored 3.2 in the lineup while Cam Skattebo scored 19.1 on the bench. Kyle has the fifth-most points, a 41-36 all-play record and the worst luck in the league at -1.73, with four should-have-won losses. Chandler averages 12.89 more and sets his lineup at 94.9 percent, first in the league. Chandler, with both quarterbacks back.

The pick

Chandler

Chandler averages 12.89 more with the most points in the league and a 54-23 all-play record, and Cook and Daniels are back from bye. Kyle has the worst luck in the league and it is mostly his own lineups.

Arjun

the M. Washingtons B. Robinsons

#6 · 4-3

vs
Bryan

Mr Wisconsin

#9 · 3-4

Arjun vs Bryan

4-3
Record
3-4
113.33
Avg score
113.46
34-43
All-play
38-39
+0.91
Luck
-0.45
89.3%
Lineup eff.
84.6%
L 98.12
Last week
W 109.92
L1
Streak
W2

Arjun averages 113.33, Bryan 113.46, 0.13 apart. Arjun has a 34-43 all-play record and a +0.91 luck rating; Bryan has a 38-39 all-play record and -0.45. Both just had the same problem: Arjun's Omar Cooper Jr. scored 22.5 on the bench for the second straight week, and Bryan's Joe Burrow scored 28.88 on the bench while Bryce Young started and scored 5.42. Bryan has won two straight anyway. Arjun sets his lineup at 89.3 percent, fourth; Bryan at 84.6, 11th. Bryan on the all-play record and the streak, with the lowest confidence of the week, because whoever fixes the bench first wins this one.

The pick

Bryan

The averages are 0.13 apart. Bryan has the better all-play record, 38-39 to 34-43, and has won two straight. Lowest confidence pick on the board.

How last week's picks went

  • ✗Picked Chandler, Mike won107.88-97.72
  • ✓Picked Lauren133.72-137.66
  • ✓Picked Sam B102.32-122.00
  • ✓Picked Bryan103.38-109.92
  • ✗Picked Patrick, Chris won118.24-112.02
  • ✗Picked Arjun, Drew won100.58-98.12

Picks are based on the season numbers on each card. Team pages →